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Tempering Great Expectations

Markets are resilient. Discipline wins. Why long-term investing outperforms market timing, now more than ever

Latest Articles

Potential Earnings

Leading indicators suggest macro fundamentals are holding up better than feared, supporting the earnings growth…

Royal Mint’s Long‑Term Case for Owning Gold

Roger Hirst and Stuart O’Reilly from the Royal Mint explore gold’s long-term investment case

The Oil Price & Geopolitical Risk

Oil has remained range-bound despite Middle East tensions, reflecting more diversified supply and reduced global…

Shipping Costs Are Surging

Red Sea disruptions are lifting shipping costs, but the inflation hit is far below the…

Brace For A ''FOMO'' Rally?

US money market assets are at record highs, implying large cash overhang that could support…

A Second Wave

Red Sea disruptions may lift goods prices, but weak demand and steady oil make a…

The Fed's Pivot Should Boost Gold

Gold’s strong risk-adjusted returns and post-rate-hike tailwinds point to further upside despite its polarising reputation

Softer Dollar Ahead?

Limited global policy divergence and stronger US growth should keep the dollar range-bound, supporting risk…

The Fed's U-Turn

Falling CPI ex-shelter signals mild deflation, explaining the Fed’s pivot toward rate cuts and supportive…

The Rates Outlook

“Table Mountain” vs “Matterhorn” = rates steady vs sharp cuts, with history pointing to earlier…

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