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Billings Bubble?

17 SEPTEMBER 2026

Billings Bubble?

The chart below captures annual spending on the specialised machinery and equipment used to manufacture semiconductors.

The parabolic rise of recent years speaks for itself.

Total billings have risen from around U$30bn a decade ago to more than U$130bn today, reflecting the enormous investment required to build AI data centres and expand semiconductor production capacity.

This suggests the euphoric AI narrative is being supported by genuine spending rather than speculation alone.

Unlike the TMT boom of the late 1990s, when share prices often raced ahead of revenues and earnings, today’s AI leaders are benefiting from a surge in orders.

Valuations remain demanding, but the strength of underlying demand helps justify at least some of the extraordinary share price performance seen across the sector.

Disclaimer:

Bentley Reid & Co (UK) Limited (FRN 572096) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

This communication is provided for information purposes only.  Bentley Reid believes that, at the time of publication, the views expressed herein represent fair opinion; however, no assurance can be given that any illustrated or referenced performance will be achieved or repeated. All data and graphical information are believed to be accurate at the time of capture but may be subject to change and may not reflect current conditions. Fluctuations in exchange rates may cause the value of investments to rise or fall.

Recipients considering any action based on the content of this communication should seek independent advice from a professional adviser appropriate to their individual financial circumstances. Capital is at risk, and investors may receive back less than the amount originally invested. Neither the publisher nor any of its subsidiaries or connected parties accepts any liability for direct or indirect loss arising from reliance on, or use of, the information contained in this communication.

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