US PPI leads CPI lower, supporting Fed cuts and risk assets into 2025
China M1 slump signals weak demand and contained global inflation pressures
Fed Cuts Despite Sticky Inflation Reflect Tight Financial Conditions and Policy Normalisation
Fiscal stimulus and liquidity support reduce near-term recession risk and support equities
US unemployment rising triggers recession signal but labour distortions complicate outlook
ISM indicator signals low US recession risk as manufacturing trends improve
Rate Cuts and Recession Risk Drive Equity Market Outcomes
US elections have little impact on gold performance over time
